Is Western European Agriculture Resilient to High Temperatures?

Title: Is Western European Agriculture Resilient to High Temperatures?
Format: Working Paper
Publication Date: November 2018
Published In: CESIfo Working Paper No. 7286

We estimate a Ricardian model of Western European agricultural land values using farm-level data. We model the effect of temperature on land values using a flexible specification of daily mean temperature to test if there are temperature threshold effects. Results indicate that there are no temperature thresholds beyond which agricultural land values suddenly drop. The results are robust to alternative model specifications. Adaptation explains why a smooth aggregate response function is compatible with sharply non-linear crop yield functions. With adaptation, the effect of warming on Western European agriculture is likely to be smooth.

Ivan Allen College Contributors:
External Contributors: Steven Van Passel
  • Climate Change Adaptation
  • Energy, Climate and Environmental Policy
Related Departments:
  • Climate and Energy Policy Laboratory
  • School of Public Policy